Game Result Predictions
Friday, March 23
Friday, March 23
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Jackson State (31-17) | 17 | 9 | -5.0 | 67% | ✔ | 9 | -6.0 | 81% | ✔ | |
Alcorn State (12-38) | 10 | 4 | +5.0 | 33% | 3 | +6.0 | 19% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Grambling (23-26) | 7 | 6 | +3.0 | 39% | ✔ | 5 | +4.0 | 27% | ✔ | |
Kennesaw State (25-30) | 26 | 9 | -3.0 | 61% | 9 | -4.0 | 73% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Alabama A&M (12-35) | 5 | 9 | -2.0 | 58% | ✘ | 8 | -1.5 | 59% | ✘ | |
Mississippi Valley State (9-34) | 10 | 7 | +2.0 | 42% | 7 | +1.5 | 41% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Southern (9-33) | 13 | 9 | -2.0 | 58% | ✔ | 7 | +1.0 | 42% | ✘ | |
Prairie View A&M (10-37) | 11 | 7 | +2.0 | 42% | 8 | -1.0 | 58% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Arkansas-Pine Bluff (17-25) | 12 | 4 | +5.0 | 33% | ✘ | 4 | +4.0 | 27% | ✘ | |
Texas Southern (25-28) | 10 | 9 | -5.0 | 67% | 8 | -4.0 | 73% |
Friday, March 23 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 60%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 40%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 60%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 40%
Overall Results (851 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 70%.